Oops! Hopkins Chinese Virus Models were Wrong about Massive Rohingya Camps

I’ve been reporting on and off for months about the dire warnings emanating from the international ‘humanitarian’ community and its media lackeys about how the Chinese virus would spread like “wildfire” through huge camps in Bangladesh housing Rohingya Muslims.

A million “vulnerable” people living virtually on top of each other in huts with limited sanitation/few masks, would be devastated we were told!

….are you ready for it!

Seven deaths among 1 MILLION inhabitants from COVID-19 in the last six months.

From the most recent information I could find (September 7th story):

COVID-19 death toll in Rohingya camps rises to 7

 

And, now see a more recent story from Johns Hopkins University.  Golly gee they have questions about how their models were so wrong.

As a result of their early models the international media was going nuts sending out news about the pending doomsday for Rohingya Muslims as I told you in a series of posts, the most recent one is here.

LOL! Let’s see if the mainstream media reports on that news from the University—the news that models were wrong.

Instead of putting so much into creating wrong models for refugees half a world away, maybe they should have focused on models for nursing homes in America!

EDGE OF EMERGENCY

Johns Hopkins scientists mobilized early during the pandemic to understand the threat COVID-19 posed to Rohingya refugees and help inform Bangladesh’s response. Their models have led to more questions than answers.

Yeh! We have questions too!

Here is a bit of the longish story in which the word WRONG does not appear.

Almost as soon as reports began circulating earlier this year that a new coronavirus-linked respiratory illness was spreading from China, researchers at the Johns Hopkins Center for Humanitarian Health thought of the refugees living in Bangladesh. In the district of Cox’s Bazar, nearly 1 million religious and ethnic minorities from Myanmar called the Rohingya live in refugee camps, with the majority—roughly 600,000—residing in the Kutupalong-Balukhali Expansion Site. At about 5 square miles, it is the world’s largest refugee camp and one of the most densely populated places on the planet.

“A pandemic is particularly worrying, but really any type of disease transmission is concerning when it comes to refugees living in camps because they are often living in high density and with poor water and sanitation,” says Paul Spiegel, director of the center and a professor of the practice in the Department of International Health in the Bloomberg School of Public Health. “We know from past experience that it’s very common for epidemics to transmit easily in these settings.”

Shaun Truelove https://www.jhsph.edu/faculty/directory/profile/3998/shaun-truelove

Shaun Truelove, an assistant scientist in the departments of International Health and Epidemiology, had conducted previous research on diphtheria and found that the transmission of the bacterial infection was about 60% higher among the Rohingya than in other populations.

He knew the introduction of a highly infectious virus to the region could be devastating.

“Knowing how this population has fared and been treated in the past, we were quite concerned that without prompt action by the international community, the pandemic could be a real disaster,”Truelove says.

To gain a better understanding of the scope of the threat, Truelove and the Infectious Disease Dynamics group led the development of a coronavirus transmission model based on the demographics of the expansion site, assumptions about the health care capacity in Cox’s Bazar, and early data about the transmission potential of the virus, among other variables.

[….]

In the low-transmission scenario, the model suggested that at least 421,500 people could become infected. In the high-transmission scenario, that number reached 589,800—or nearly every person in the expansion site. The number of deaths was expected to be between 2,040 and 2,880.

[….]

“Among a population of nearly a million people, the number of total coronavirus cases reported is around 145,” Truelove says. “These are tiny, tiny numbers.”

More here. Seems the story is choke full of lengthy explanations dancing around having to come right out and say they were wrong.

So much for science!

See my Rohingya Reports category for nearly 12 years of news (242 previous posts) on Rohingya Muslims and all of my posts on how the COVID monster was coming to get them.

Mystery! So Why Has the Dreaded Chinese Virus Not Materialized as Major Threat to Refugees?

I promised over the last few months to update readers about what was happening in refugee camps with COVID, and as of this morning I can report NOT MUCH!

There is no explosion of cases, no COVID “wildfire” blowing through camps. https://refugeeresettlementwatch.org/2020/07/20/again-refugee-camps-are-not-experiencing-the-chinese-virus-in-great-numbers/

(In addition to the post linked above, see some of my previous posts herehere, and here for example.)

I’m not planning to spend hours trying to find articles hidden in the dark recesses of the world wide web that might prove that the virus has developed into a “grave threat” for hundreds of thousands of refugees (living in close quarters without masks!) as the mainstream media was predicting for months.

There are many articles including this one below that discuss how the UN and other agencies have kept refugees safe, but they make me chuckle.

Since they can’t report some horrifying death toll, they are now taking credit for keeping the virus at bay in camps where dozens of people share latrines for their daily excretions, soap and water are not plentiful and they live in crowded huts (so much for social distancing).

You know if the case numbers and death toll was high we would be hearing about it from the front pages of the WaPo and the NYT!

From Relief Web:

Bangladesh, 24 August 2020: The global death toll from the coronavirus has crossed 800,000 as confirmed cases surged past 23 million, with Bangladesh overtaking Pakistan to become 15th on the list of countries with most COVID-19 patients. While the country has crossed a grim milestone, there are so far fewer causalities in the densely-populated Rohingya camps that have been and still are considered one of the most vulnerable places to the ongoing pandemic.

As of now, COVID-19 situation across the camps has been tackled somewhat successfully. However, the apparent success in keeping the virus away should not hide the fact that the risks of a COVID-19 outbreak in the camps remain very high. Despite taking all the preventative measures, it cannot fully alleviate the very difficult conditions continually present in the camps.

[….]

“Close to a million Rohingya refugees are living in highly overcrowded camps in the Cox’s Bazar region of Bangladesh. So far with the collective effort of all humanitarian agencies and the government we have been able to limit the spread of COVID-19 successfully. However, the risk still remains and we need to keep working with the communities on food and nutrition security, creating health awareness while reinforcing our disaster preparedness activity”- said Ram Das, Deputy Country Director – Humanitarian Response of CARE Bangladesh.

Sure seems like the international health establishment should be figuring out why the virus isn’t spreading where it seems that it should be—in crowded and unhealthy living conditions housing the “vulnerable.”

And, that reminds me, why isn’t there a huge sick/death count in the tent cities where the homeless are congregating in Democrat controlled cities?

Brookings to Biden: Bring in Even Greater Numbers of Refugees During COVID Pandemic

By bringing in even greater numbers than we have in the past we can show the world that we have “moral authority” and even those dastardly Chinese will have to pay attention!

America needs more Rohingya refugees so we can show the world that we have moral authority and the rest of the globe will follow us to multicultural Nirvana.

 

They are all getting excited for Biden/Harris and here the Leftwing Brookings Institution*** in Washington says forget the idea of simply restoring our Refugee Admissions Program, it needs to be reformed to be even more robust when Biden gets to the White House in January 2021.

I thought I was going to be reading about real reform of the program when this headline was brought to my attention.  But alas, reform=more poor (sick!) third worlders for your town.

 

COVID-19 and the chance to reform US refugee policy

COVID-19 has exposed the underlying fault lines in societies around the world and in modern globalization. Yet by revealing long ignored flaws, it presents a rare chance to reform.

Authors of this prescription for Biden. Yeh, we are going to take advice from a Turk telling us to go big with our refugee admissions numbers?

Unsurprisingly, refugees — the vast majority of whom live deeply precarious lives — have been among the most threatened by the pandemic.

Actually, no, as I have been reporting, the pandemic has barely touched refugee camps worldwide.

A new U.S. administration should seize the opportunity presented by COVID-19 to build a better refugee policy, both for refugees’ benefit and for U.S. national security and strategic interests. [No one has ever shown me that our national security benefits from bringing in people from countries that hate us!—ed]

With the 70th anniversary of the 1951 Geneva Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees approaching in 2021, now is an opportune time for an update to U.S. refugee policy.

[….]

Today, vibrant  [They cannot write a refugee story without using that word!—ed] refugee communities can be found in cities like Los Angeles, California, Nashville, Tennessee, and St. Louis, Missouri, which host the largest number of Vietnamese, Kurds, and Bosnians in the United States, respectively. [Notice they don’t mention the vibrant community of Somali Muslims in Minneapolis!—ed]

A compelling argument can be made that America needs refugees and owes part of its economic success to those who came to its shores seeking shelter from persecution and violence. The arrival of refugees helped to uphold America’s identity as a multicultural nation that accepts all victims of persecution who would come to its shores.

But that evil creature Trump has caused our “moral authority” to go into the toilet!

Blah, blah, blah…

I’m very interested to learn, if it’s true, that a battle is going on among Ds about whether to restore the program or go bigger….

As the 2020 presidential election draws near, a key division amongst Democrats who hope to see President Trump leave office in 2021 is between the restorationists, who think things can go back to the way they were before Trump, and the reformists, who see the hurricane of the Trump administration as an opportunity to build back stronger. COVID-19 should render this debate moot with regards to U.S. refugee policy.

Biden has already said he is going big in January (but won’t the pandemic still be raging in January)! And, I have no doubt he and Kamala will be eager to jump on the UN bandwagon on the Global Compact on Refugees!

There are already signs that a post-Trump United States could adopt a more helpful stance on refugees. Presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has promised to rescind the Trump administration’s Muslim ban, restore access to asylum, and increase yearly refugee resettlement quotas to 125,000, a move that would show solidarity with countries hosting large numbers of refugees and likely spur U.S. allies to follow suit. There is also support in Congress for shouldering a greater refugee burden, as seen with Refugee Protection Act proposed in November 2019.

With a definitive end to the COVID-19 pandemic nowhere in sight, the threat facing refugees and the political stability of their host countries calls for the next administration to go beyond simply restoring the traditional U.S. leadership role on refugees. To address the challenge of rebuilding after COVID-19, the United States should endorse the Global Compact on Refugees (GCR).

And then this! By bringing in even greater numbers of refugees we can stick it to China, say the great minds at Brookings?

A revamped U.S. commitment to helping refugees carries direct benefits for U.S. national security priorities, in particular with respect to the strategic rivalry posed by a rising China.

Firstly, revamping its leadership role in managing refugee resettlement would go a long way in helping America reclaim the moral leadership it has enjoyed in past decades, which enabled it to create unique solutions to problems.

America’s support for refugees does more for it in a “battle of ideas” than its military and economic capacity alone: an America that actively protects the less fortunate might more easily win hearts and minds globally while also serving its own national security interests.

It drives me mad, when they say things like that—“win hearts and minds globally”—with not a bit of proof that anyone loves us more, surely not the Chinese!

And what about Americans’ hearts and minds!

The devastation wrought by the COVID-19 pandemic has exposed deep flaws in countries around the world and endangered the health and livelihoods of millions. To build a better, more democratic, more equitable world after the pandemic, the United States could start by helping refugees, rather than what it can do by merely seeking its own benefit.

In the wake of the Chinese virus crisis the US has only one obligation and that is to take care of Americans FIRST!

***Brookings tries to pretend it is centrist however,

Starting with the 1990 election cycle, employees of the Brookings Institution gave $853,017 to Democratic candidates and $26,104 to Republican candidates. In total, since 1990, 96 percent of its political donations have gone to Democrats.

As of July 30th, US Refugee Admissions have Resumed

As you know if you follow RRW, the Refugee Admissions Program came to a grinding halt in March due to the worldwide travel restrictions in the wake of the Chinese virus pandemic.

However, the US State Department announced on July 29th that our welcome mat had once again been put out for third world migration to Anytown, USA.

By the way, as I reported here on August 2nd we never really stopped bringing refugees altogether.

From CNN:

Refugee admissions to the US resume after being on pause due to coronavirus

(CNN)Refugee admissions to the United States have resumed after being put on pause for five months due to the coronavirus pandemic, according to the State Department.

In March, the US put a temporary pause on refugee admissions after the International Organization for Migration, which is in charge of booking refugees on their travel, and the United Nations refugee agency announced a temporary suspension of resettlement travel. Both organizations have since moved to restart admissions.

Sec. of State Mike Pompeo Opens Refugee Admissions Program as COVID (supposedly) continues to sicken and kill Americans and destroy the economy. What’s a few more mouths to feed!

In a statement to CNN, a State Department spokesperson said Secretary Mike Pompeo approved the resumption of admissions on July 29.

“This program is a vital lifeline for the world’s most vulnerable refugees who have no other alternative and who are made even more vulnerable by the COVID-19 pandemic,” the spokesperson said, adding that the program “resumed arrivals for approved refugees effective July 30 with significant COVID health measures in place as required by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.”

The spokesperson didn’t provide additional details on what extra health measures entailed. Refugees are usually heavily screened before arriving in the US.

 

We have admitted 196 refugees and spread them out among 22 states in the two weeks since Pompeo made the announcement according to data compiled by the Refugee Processing Center.

The top three welcoming states are Texas, Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Of the 196, 41 are Muslims (there is no Muslim ban).  The 41 include 15 Burmese Rohingya people and 15 Syrians.

Just a reminder, next month the President is required by law to submit his determination (ceiling) for the number of refugee arrivals for FY2021 that begins on October 1, 2020.

We will be watching! to see what the President does.  He can, of course, postpone any decision, or he can set the ceiling at zero.

Somali Speaks Out about Sexual Abuse of Women in “their Community”

And, she has been brave enough to write a book about it.  The book is “an eye-opening indictment of the deep-seated misogyny in patriarchal cultures.”

What! I thought diversity was beautiful and that adding more Somalis to America was going to strengthen us!   Is she saying there are secrets about which the Open Borders cabal isn’t telling us as they push for more and more refugee resettlement for East Africans?

A press release from Benzinga:

(Emphasis is mine)

CHANDLER, Ariz., July 31, 2020 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ — Malyun Ali, also known as Mama Malyun Suuban (MMS), currently resides in Phoenix, Arizona, as homeless person. Previously lived in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and moved away from there due to threats and cyberbullying by the Somali community.

The attack started due to the fact that she decided to speak up for the rights of the women of Somali, both abroad and back in Somalia.

https://www.amazon.com/Cannot-Be-Silenced-Malyun-Ali/dp/1647016304/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=

Malyun Ali is a mother of three adult children and one grandchild. She is the voice of the voiceless and have challenged a culture that sees their women as second-class citizens. She is a businesswoman, a visionary, trailblazer and has a heart of gold. She has helped countless of victims throughout the years.

She is a YouTuber and is the first person of Somali descended [sic] to come out public as a child sexual-abuse survivor.

She has published his new book “I Cannot Be Silenced”: a deeply personal memoir of the horrific abuse she endured as a child and young woman in her native Somalia, and an eye-opening indictment of the deep-seated misogyny in patriarchal cultures.

She writes, “What you will read about in these pages has not just been my experiences but those of many women who are afraid to share their shameful secrets. My message is twofold: (1) to encourage women to shed this cloak of shame they have been forced to wear by both men and women who believe it is their right and privilege to steal their spirits; and (2) to inform and educate people of the Western world who can join with us in our fight for freedom.

“Others cannot feel your passion for change if they are ignorant of your lifetime of pain. There is no such thing as a silent cause. I promise you, speaking out will heal your soul, and that is what this book will show you how I have done it.

“This book will offer a platform for Western women/men to hear about and learn how to help female immigrants to better assimilate and adjust to new environments and communities as well. This book will be a guide to many service provider and individuals who are working with Somali community to understand them in a true, authentic, transparent, and honest way of working with this community victims and individuals who are not able to speak up and seek support.”

I guess this means all those resettlement contractors paid to resettle refugees better get to work and help these poor women instead of constantly agitating the rest of us about racism! These are black lives that matter, right?

And, by the way, these women are going to need the police and the US Justice system if they want to break the cycle of violence.  Does anyone believe that a little chit-chat with a social worker is going to do any good?

By the way, if you missed it at ‘Frauds and Crooks’ see:

Fugitive from Justice Charged with Kidnapping Likely in Somalia